Tracking whether the Buy-The-Dip signal is holding up.

BTC daily close——
Our story
Loading real feeds… / Retrospective validation · Not financial advice
WHAT THE BOARD SAYS RIGHT NOW

Retrieving current market evidence…

Scores will be displayed only after fetching the required market feeds.

Historical signals and public observation counts are loading.

Read the methodology
NO VERIFIED RESET YETNo candidate met the published BTFD rules in the observed sample.0 PUBLIC DAILY OBSERVATIONS ARCHIVED
DAYS SINCE LAST FALSE BTFD SIGNAL

No verified reset in available history

CURRENT MARKET REGIME

INSUFFICIENT DATA

Some inputs are missing or stale. No signal is issued.

Signal health:NOT ACTIVE
BTFD INDEX
—/100

Experimental accumulation confirmation

Market Fear

—/100
Unavailable

Market sentiment from Alternative.me

Accumulation Confirmation

—/100
Unavailable

ETF demand, stablecoin liquidity and price trend

Did the last signal hold?

No evaluated candidate yet

Awaiting enough eligible signals

Last reset

Not established

No observed failed candidate in this rolling sample.

Current streak—Since last verified false signal
Best observed streak—Within limited data history
Observed win rate—Requires resolved signals
False signals observed—In available history
LIVE TRACKING STATUS

The public forward-test archive has no daily observations yet. A capture is scheduled at 02:17 UTC every day; its success is not guaranteed.

Backfilled market history is not a forward-tested prediction record

Signal history

Compare the BTFD accumulation score with the BTC/USD daily closing price.

BTFD score (left axis · 0–100) BTC daily close (right axis · USD)Rolling sample: 0 days

Two different vertical scales: similar-looking movements do not establish correlation, causation or predictive power. Historical scores are reconstructed after the fact, not live buy signals.

Why this score?

Every contribution is visible. Derivatives remain a separate confirmation feed.

All four market indicators

Underlying feed availability: —/4 · Historical BTFD scoring uses three comparable feeds; derivatives are monitored independently.

How does the BTFD Safety Board work?Beginner → Advanced

The index is asking two different questions: Is the market afraid? and Is there evidence of buying? A high-fear market with strong demand is called Stealth Accumulation. High fear without confirmation is a Falling Knife.

The big counter is not a price prediction. It tracks how long it has been since a previously issued candidate signal failed our published 7-day test.

    Data credits: Alternative.me · Farside · DefiLlama · Kraken.

    BTFD Safety Board | Buy the Dip or Catch the Knife?